Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.000154 0.000170 0.000188 0.000208 0.000231 0.000256 0.000285
2025-05-18 0.000122 0.000145 0.000172 0.000206 0.000247 0.000297 0.000361
2025-05-25 0.000102 0.000129 0.000161 0.000204 0.000261 0.000334 0.000435
2025-06-01 0.000089 0.000116 0.000152 0.000202 0.000271 0.000365 0.000503
2025-06-08 0.000077 0.000104 0.000141 0.000195 0.000273 0.000383 0.000557
2025-06-15 0.000071 0.000099 0.000138 0.000197 0.000287 0.000421 0.000640
2025-06-22 0.000066 0.000095 0.000136 0.000201 0.000304 0.000463 0.000737
2025-06-29 0.000060 0.000088 0.000129 0.000197 0.000307 0.000484 0.000802
2025-07-06 0.000053 0.000080 0.000121 0.000188 0.000302 0.000491 0.000843
2025-07-13 0.000050 0.000077 0.000118 0.000189 0.000312 0.000524 0.000934
2025-07-20 0.000047 0.000074 0.000117 0.000192 0.000326 0.000564 0.001045
2025-07-27 0.000044 0.000071 0.000113 0.000190 0.000331 0.000589 0.001129
2025-08-03 0.000042 0.000068 0.000111 0.000191 0.000342 0.000630 0.001256
2025-08-10 0.000039 0.000064 0.000108 0.000190 0.000349 0.000663 0.001372
2025-08-17 0.000036 0.000061 0.000105 0.000189 0.000356 0.000697 0.001498
2025-08-24 0.000034 0.000058 0.000101 0.000186 0.000361 0.000726 0.001618
2025-08-31 0.000031 0.000054 0.000096 0.000180 0.000356 0.000735 0.001692
2025-09-07 0.000030 0.000053 0.000095 0.000182 0.000370 0.000786 0.001878
2025-09-14 0.000029 0.000052 0.000095 0.000186 0.000387 0.000848 0.002105
2025-09-21 0.000027 0.000049 0.000091 0.000182 0.000387 0.000869 0.002228
2025-09-28 0.000025 0.000046 0.000086 0.000174 0.000377 0.000865 0.002280
2025-10-05 0.000024 0.000045 0.000085 0.000175 0.000387 0.000911 0.002488
2025-10-12 0.000023 0.000044 0.000084 0.000177 0.000402 0.000973 0.002752